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Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatullah Ali Gameni, US President Donald Trump accepts the increasingly negative tone in response to violent threats against the Islamic Republic.
On Wednesday, the cleric urged the Iranian government to further develop his military skills. After visiting a security exhibition in Tehran, “We cannot be satisfied,” said Kameni.
In any uncertainty words, “Today, our defensive power is well known. Our enemies are afraid of this.”
Trump and Camene’s contradictory positions have America Iran In the direct course of the conflict.
Although Iran is not in a major debate This year’s Munich Security ConferenceIts shades can be seen in many universal hot places, especially The ongoing crisis in Gaza. In this way, Iran is not only a US but a security challenge, but And Europe.
What is behind Kaneyi’s opposition?
“Trump’s diplomatic impulses towards Kameni, with the announcement of his administration ‘Maximum pressure’ The policy towards Tehran has weakened the position of Gameni, “Hacked Institute for geopolitan political analyst Daman Coleris DWU.
“In recent weeks, many senior (Iranian) officials have expressed considerable desire for direct negotiations with Trump,” he said, “Camene’s opposition to the US-Iran nuclear talks is formed from his” decreased domestic and regional power. “
Last year’s fall Bashar Assad’s rule in Syria – Iran’s long -term friendship – severely damaged Tehran’s regional position. At home, Kanei is under pressure.
“The most important source of Kaneni’s fear is domestic than the exterior,” said Hossein Akai, a senior protection and geopolitical analyst. He believes that there will be a bad situation for Iran’s supremacist, in which the “peaceful majority” of the Iranian citizens who alienated the Iranian citizens, used the “window of the opportunity”, which is given by the threats of rising against Ayatullah, by weak and distracted external stresses.
Cameini’s anti -American stance is therefore considered an attempt to face domestic threats to his position.
Can Trump use military force against Tehran?
A particular controversy between the two countries has Iran’s nuclear power. “Refusing all paths for Iran is a nuclear weapon” is the central part of the maximum-bruilor strategy of the Trump administration.
In this regard, Akai believes that “the US under the Trump administration is likely to avoid a large -scale conflict.”
“However, Iran’s advanced nuclear program is a global security threat, so President Trump weighs options to prevent the formation of nuclear weapons, including a barrier air strikes,” he said.
To avoid this, experts agree that Iran should be given an opportunity for diplomacy. “The ball is now in Iran’s court,” Akai said. It is possible to reach a nuclear peace agreement floating Trumpal, but not very possible, ”he believes.
The expert said, “If you enter talks with the United States, Trump believes that Trump should be offering huge concessions on various important issues, including its ballistic missiles, drone projects and its proxy networks.” “So, it is found that Tehran wants durable and endless speeches.”
What is next to Iran?
Beyond the short -term worries of further violence in the Middle East, strategic researchers believer, the US needs a strategy to engage with Iran for a long time, which can be turned into a quiet manner in the region, and in the international community.
“However, Trump’s attitude supports short -term agreements with dictatorship. It is clear that his administration withdrew from the UN Human Rights Council is clearly. I hope that his tactics about Iran will try to combine reliable military threats to Iran,” he said.
But in terms of Iranian activist Masih Alinezat, the US -based Iranian activist, Trump’s short -term approach has a lot of importance, because in his view, the international community is not sufficient to deal with Iran’s difficult regime.
“Nuclear negotiations will allow the Iranian regime to buy and re -coordinate the time,” he told DW. Munic safety conference Is marginalized. Now, the time to act, he emphasized.
“Iran is weak now,” he argued. “The lower and middle -income groups no longer support the Islamic rule. People are tired. They want to live a normal life.”
Revised: Maran sauce
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