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Apopis, significantly measuring 1,148 feet in diameter, was feared as a potential threat to the earth at a time, but 2021 analysis of 2021 has significantly reduced the risk of the risk
Torino impact risk criterion, a tool used to categorize the risk of objects near Earth, is currently valuation 2024 YR4. (Representative Photo: AP file)
The newly discovered asteroid 2024 YR4 has set alert beads in the scientific community, which has become a dangerous asteroid that has so far been discovered. NASA’s initial calculations refer to 3.1% chance of Earth’s impact by 2032, while the European Space Agency (ESA) put the risk of 2.8%.
Although these figures were slightly different because of the different methods, the two surpassed the previous record of the asteroids found in 2004. Subsequent observations, which were held after a period of limited due to the MoON, have provided less dangerous perspective. In December 2032, NASA now estimates the 1.5% off of conflict. Such fluctuations are expected because additional data is collected and analyzed.
Apopis, significantly measuring 1,148 feet in diameter, was feared as a potential threat to the earth at a time, but the 2021 analysis significantly reduced the risk of the risk. On the contrary, 2024 YR4 estimated from 131 to 295 feet wide is currently the highest impact on its sized asteroid.
Torino Condition: Assessment of Threatening
Torino impact risk criterion is a tool used to categorize the risk of objects near the Earth, which now values 2024 YR4 to 3. It refers to 1% or more opportunity for localized destruction, guaranteeing close surveillance by astronomers. However, experts expect that the impact of the impact will decrease zero, with additional observations.
Unraveling the orbit of 2024 YR4
The uncertainty around the 2024 YR4 originates from our limited understanding of its orbit. As part of its four -year journey around the sun has been observed, forecasting its path is a challenge. Astronomers are actively monitoring their calculations and reducing uncertainty.
What will happen if the 2024 Yr4 asteroid attacks the earth?
The potential impact of a asteroid like 2024 YR4 draws parallel to the 1908 Tunguska event, where similar material exploded in Siberia, flattening 770 square miles. The consequences of such an event can cause disaster depending on the composition of the asteroid and the location of the impact.
Dr. Richard J. Wilman said, “In the history of probably recorded history, the Tunguska event will be the event in 1908. A material with a diameter of 100 meters enters the Earth’s atmosphere and explodes, destroys 2,000 square kilometers of Siberian forests. “
“It depends on the type of asteroid, but as a rule of thumb, the body is 20 times higher than the size of a ditch,” Wilman said. “So if you have a 100 -meter diameter asteroid, you will give you a ditch with a diameter of two kilometers,” he told Forbes.
Can the asteroid mix in space?
Although the potential to use a nuclear weapon that distracts a nuclear like 2024 YR4 seems to be impressed, experts warn against it. Such a strategy would be a last attempt, carrying unregulated and significant political changes.
“There are two problems in the atomic bomb. First, it has never been tested. There is also a major political impact. If we start with a dart -like spacecraft, if it fails, the hardest luck, but the launch is carrying a nuclear bomb and what if it explodes in a high atmosphere? You are taking a risk and you want to confirm that you are worth the risk effort you are taking, “Neo coordination center manager of the European Space Agency in Fraskati, Italy, said Luca Consari, Neomir Research Scientist Luca Consari said Forbes.
The current monitoring of 2024 YR4 illustrates as an important role in the asteroid detection and surveillance in planetary security. When our understanding of this celestial object develops, there will be our strategies to alleviate potential risks.
- Location:
Washington DC, United States of America (USA)
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