Russia grows up the post -Soviet military equipment during the entire class invasion of Ukraine at a crazy speed. According to the analysis of independent centers, we can talk about half of Moscow’s machines stored during the Cold War in the event of a global conflict with the West. However, the Russians embraced war tricks to suit the flaws. Long -term predictions are not very hopeless to them. However, everything will be determined by politics.
From the beginning of 2024, it was aloud that the coming months would decide to escape Ukraine as a free state. Voyodimir Jelnski admitted it, he said at the beginning of January 2024: The main priority of our country is to ensure everything needed to protect Ukraine and our functions. Ammunition. Trones. Equipment. Employee. Bearing this year is the survival of the entire war.
This period is important for frontal events. At the same time, the peak of Russia’s production possibilities in the west of the war is less interested in war in the West. In the meantime, we dealt with a powerful confusion in the US Congress, with a billionaire assistance to Ukraine, which caused the Kiev forces to have the biggest drawbacks of artillery ammunition for the Kiev forces.
The West, with the United States, led the Ukrainians to the Ukrainian, which allowed the range of regional losses, the rapid decline of the front, and – above all – the rigorous disintegration of the Russian possibilities to provide equipment to their soldiers.
According to the Orix website that follows the conflict in Ukraine, Russia Since February 2022, he lost more than 20,000 military equipment. Of these figures, the data on the tanks – 2672 recovered (700 Ukrainian language), armored staff carriers – 1900 (800 in Ukrainian) and infantry war vehicles – 4100 (900 in Ukrainian language).
The total number of damaged, abandoned or lost armored vehicles on the Russian side is more than 11,000. Kiev’s losses are estimated to be about 3,800 pieces. Russians record similar shocking losses in the context of MLRS artillery. As the inner portal notes, both sides of the conflict are primarily losing equipment from the Soviet times. Half of the equipment lost by the Russian army in the Ukrainian front comes from the Soviet newspapers, which are gradually empty.
The new production of the Russian industry cannot be compensated for. Army Inspector Andrej Tarazenko, its concept is referred to by the insider, estimates that Russia produces annually About 300 tanks per yearThis is half of how much you lose in a massive attack, such as Adviavka and Pokrovsk.
To make this more interesting, a group of insider writing, following the satellite photos of Russian sites, published a detailed report at the end of 2024. This shows that about 41-52 percent of the Russian magazines. Reserves in front of the hardest hardware (tanks, armored vehicles or MLRS cannons). These other equipment are often in poor condition and can mainly act as scrap metal.
According to US intelligence estimates in 1975-1988, the Soviet Arms industry produced 40,000 tanks, 36,500 infantry war vehicles and nearly 38,000 armored carriers. A significant part of this distribution – first built for the requirements of a large -scale conflict with the West – It was removed in 1990s and 2000 or sold to Africa and Asia.
According to Think Tank, the International Strategic Research Institute (IISS) recovered more than 1,500 basic tanks and about 2,800 infantry war vehicles and armored staff carriers last year. The IISS states that the remaining equipment in the warehouse is already in bad condition and is not re -fighting. The lack of spare parts causes the problems of the Russian industry.
The main issue that the Russian military is fighting is the lack of carriers and armored staff carriers.
This means that the Moscow had to change her tactics on the battlefield – unfortunately for the Russian soldiers – she did it. We are talking about the use of emergency instructions – the use of motorcycles and integrated vehicles – and frequent use of the infantry to move the front. IISS estimates that current human losses reach the Russian army About 172 thousand were killed and 611 thousand wounded, more than half of them would never return.
The Analysis Center assesses that human and hardware resources will allow Russia to maintain attacks for at least one year. However, this can be increasingly associated with severe losses.
Ukraine is affected by another problem. Kiev is not temporarily placed in the situation of defective equipment, but is affected by the defects in the employees and the problem of managing current structures. Some forms were quickly formed and did not provide enough exercise, which caused the significant losses of the Ukrainian army in the front of the front. The battlefield was also replaced by the drones, and its use was well -existed by the Russians and allows the opponent to get huge losses.
IISS hopes that the first results of cooperation with Kiev international governments in 2025 will appear in Ukraine in Ukraine. The center also draws attention to the capabilities of the own Ukrainian industry, which can independently manufacture major equipment such as self -launched artillery systems. If Ukraine can solve the problem of soldiers, Her condition may be assured in the future.
Donald Trump says that he spoke to Putin and that the confrontation should be completed. If you read the statistics of damaged equipment in Ukraine, the Russians can mainly predict the purchase of time in the frozen war.
It is clear that a significant part of the Western sanctions will be withdrawn when Putin sign a contract to suspend weapons. This will allow the Russian economy to breathe and accumulate the reserves of the areas needed to repair military equipment. The economic system in Russia has already switched to war systems. In contrast to some experts, the Russian economy has not been broken, and the suppression of Putin’s opposition parties and the internal opponents will not oppose the Russian community. Russia will happily take advantage of the opportunity to rest and prepare the next invasion. But he doesn’t have to do it yet.
In the West, this idea came from somewhere, it is important to reach the agreement and the Putin case is over. It is not – According to Russian journalist Fioner łukjanov quoted by Eurneus.
This Kremlin’s attitude seems to have been officially confirmed by Putin’s representatives. Russia’s representative for relations with the United States must meet all the conditions of President Vladimir Putin on Monday, so that the war can be said. Considering that the demands of Moscow to Ukraine and west seems to have been banned, Russia will negotiate very sharply with Trump because there are more opportunities for it.
