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Panorama is complicated The economy of Mexico: Panico has been updated Its growth prediction ranges from 1.2 to 0.6 percent.
What is the reason? In its quarterly report, Mexico Bank reported Mexico’s GDP shouted in the last quarter of 2024.
“In the last quarter of 2024 Low growth base for 2025 This reduces the forecast of the GDP’s expansion, ”he said.
Panico forecasts it Consumption is already a private investment They have low energy as a reflection of the high uncertainty environment.
Panico said in its quarterly report that the outdoor demand for the year will increase the expected behavior of industrial activities in the United States, which will curb the contribution of public spending on manufacturing activities for manufacturing activities.
Did Panico take Trump’s fees into his forecast?
The company mentioned it Donald Trump’s payment threats They will add more uncertainty against Mexico Panorama of the economy for 2025.
“These predictions do not incorporate estimates on potential consequences in economic activities in our country, including commercial issues,” the ruling board said.
February 18, Tuesday, Donald Trump said the fees of imported cars would be 25 percent. The same rate (which will be activated on April 2) applies Semantics and drug products.
“When they come to America and Keep your plant or factory hereThere are no charges, so we want to give them a small opportunity, ”President Mar-A-Lawo told reporters.
Apply for stainless steel and aluminum for those charges As of Wednesday, March 12, it will be 25 percent, which is an activity Kanasero’s call to use retaliation rates against Trump.
In that case, Economic Secretary Marcelo Ebrah will go to Washington, where he will expose that the European Union has a surface balance with Mexico in steel trading and AluminumSo the rates are unfair.
In addition to those charges, there are 25 percent of the generals. Those rates were paused for a month A deal with President Claudia Shinbam.
As part of the arrangement, Mexico assured Increase border surveillance with 10,000 national guards. In return, the Trump government agreed to review arms trafficking, advocates Shinebam, and benefits the Mexican Cartles (already declared terrorists).
The risks already on the economy by 2025
Panico pointed out that the policies of the United States intensify the uncertainty in the downward risks of Mexico’s economy; The US economy is less than expected; Chapters on fluctuating in national and international financial markets.
Mexico Bank warned its possibilities Expansion of various geopolitical conflicts The impact on the global economy.
In the meantime, the growth of the American economy is more than expected in upward risks; That public expenditure is more encouragement to the economic activities of those who expected, and within the structure of the T-Mac, the expected something is created.
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