Week 5, 2023 College Football Odds and Predictions: Georgia and Michigan State Gain Strong Endorsement from Reliable Computer Model


Week 5, 2023 College Football Odds and Predictions: Georgia and Michigan State Gain Strong Endorsement from Reliable Computer Model

While Week 5 of college football may not boast the same level of excitement as the previous week, there are still three compelling ranked vs. ranked matchups set to unfold on Saturday. At 3:30 p.m. ET, No. 3 Texas is set to host No. 24 Kansas, with the Longhorns emerging as clear favorites, sporting a 16-point advantage according to the SportsLine consensus Week 5 college football odds. As the day turns into night, the matchups intensify with No. 20 Ole Miss (+2.5) facing off against No. 13 LSU and No. 17 Duke (+5.5) taking on No. 11 Notre Dame.

Last week, only one underdog managed to cover the spread in the six ranked vs. ranked showdowns. As we approach Week 5, it’s crucial to determine which college football spreads present the most favorable opportunities for your bets. Before making any decisions, it’s wise to consult the latest college football predictions from SportsLine’s renowned model.

The SportsLine Projection Model is designed to simulate each FBS college football game a remarkable 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has yielded a remarkable profit of nearly $2,500 for $100 bettors who followed its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Those who’ve adhered to its guidance have reaped substantial rewards.

Now, the model shifts its focus to the current college football odds for Week 5 and provides selections for every FBS matchup. To access all the picks, click here.

Among the model’s college football predictions for Saturday is its recommendation for Georgia (-14.5) to comfortably cover the spread against Auburn in a 3:30 p.m. ET SEC on CBS clash at Jordan-Hare Stadium. The Bulldogs arrive with an impressive 21-game winning streak, having secured victory in their last five regular-season meetings against Auburn. Their offense showed signs of brilliance against UAB last week, converting all six red zone opportunities in their 49-21 triumph. Quarterback Carson Beck threw for a career-high 338 yards and three touchdowns, while running back Daijun Edwards contributed 66 yards and two scores. In contrast, Auburn faces offensive uncertainties after failing to score against Texas A&M last week and dealing with significant injuries in their secondary. This is why the model predicts Georgia covering the spread in over 60% of its simulations.

In another projection, the model foresees Michigan State (+10.5) narrowly missing an outright victory against Iowa on Saturday at 7:30 p.m. ET. Both teams are coming off disappointing losses, with Michigan State falling 31-9 to Maryland and Iowa enduring a painful 31-0 defeat to Penn State last week. Iowa’s offense had one of the worst performances of the season, tallying a mere 76 yards, four first downs, and a paltry 14 minutes and 33 seconds of time of possession.

Michigan State, on the other hand, succumbed to five turnovers against Maryland, a stark contrast to their initial 2-1 start with only three turnovers. If the Spartans can curtail these turnovers against Iowa, it could pose challenges for the Hawkeyes offense, which has averaged just 14.7 points per game in three outings outside of their 41-10 victory over Western Michigan from the MAC. The model doesn’t foresee Iowa’s offense being strong enough to justify their near two-touchdown favorite status, predicting a one-score contest with Michigan State covering the spread in 70% of simulations. For more insights into the model’s preferences, explore the complete list of teams it favors here.

Looking ahead, the model also provides its verdict on the winners and spreads for every other FBS matchup in Week 5, with several underdogs expected to claim outright victories. To access all the picks for every game, visit SportsLine.




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