2023 MLB Playoffs: Orioles vs. Rangers ALDS Game 1 Odds, Predictions from Computer Model



2023 MLB Playoffs: Orioles vs. Rangers ALDS Game 1 Odds, Predictions from Computer Model

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In preparation for the Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles clash in Game 1 of the American League Divisional Series, SportsLine’s computer model conducted an extensive simulation of the matchup, running it 10,000 times, and has released its MLB picks.

The Texas Rangers (90-72), who secured second place in the AL West after a tiebreaker loss to the Houston Astros, arrive at this game fresh off a two-game sweep against the Tampa Bay Rays in the Wild Card round. Meanwhile, the Baltimore Orioles (101-61), winners of the AL East, have reached the impressive milestone of 100 wins for the first time since 1980, clinching their first division title since 2014 and their first postseason appearance since 2016. The Orioles also hold a historical advantage, leading the all-time series against the Rangers 410-282, including a 201-143 edge in games played in Baltimore.

The first pitch for this pivotal clash is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore. According to the SportsLine consensus, the Orioles are the favorites at -145 on the money line (requiring a $145 wager to win $100), and the over/under total runs set by Vegas stands at 8. Before making any picks for the Rangers vs. Orioles matchup, it’s advisable to consider the MLB predictions and betting advice provided by SportsLine’s highly reliable computer simulation model.

SportsLine’s Projection Model, renowned for simulating every MLB game 10,000 times, has an impressive track record, going 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. Entering the 2023 MLB playoffs, the model boasts a 91-73 record on all top-rated MLB picks for the season and has excelled with top-rated run-line picks, boasting an 18-6 record (+766). Followers of the model have enjoyed significant returns.

The model has now focused its attention on the Rangers vs. Orioles matchup and has locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can access the model’s picks on SportsLine. Below are the key MLB odds and betting lines for Rangers vs. Orioles.

  • Rangers vs. Orioles money line: Texas +123, Baltimore -145
  • Rangers vs. Orioles over/under: 8 runs
  • Rangers vs. Orioles run line: Baltimore -1.5 (+145)
  • TEX: The Rangers have exceeded the game total in 24 of their last 39 games
  • BAL: The Orioles have surpassed the team total in 45 of their last 78 games

Now, let’s delve into reasons to support each team.

Why You Should Back the Orioles

Baltimore is set to send right-hander Kyle Bradish (12-7, 2.83 ERA) to the mound, a pitcher in excellent form with six wins in his last seven decisions. Bradish faced Texas twice during the regular season, delivering two no-decisions and a combined 8 1/3 innings, allowing only one earned run. Catcher Adley Rutschman has been a standout offensive force for the Orioles, finishing the regular season with strong numbers, including 20 home runs.

Why You Should Back the Rangers

Corey Seager, the Rangers’ shortstop, enters the series in hot form, and his performance in the Wild Card round was exceptional. Seager boasts an impressive batting average during the regular season and has a history of success against the Orioles. Second baseman Marcus Semien has been a reliable contributor throughout the year.

For in-depth analysis and to determine the winning side and value for Rangers vs. Orioles, consult SportsLine’s model, which has an excellent track record of 91-73 on its top-rated MLB picks. Find out which side to bet on and why by visiting SportsLine now.




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