Thursday Night Football: Chiefs vs. Broncos - Time, Odds, Predictions, Keys, Live Stream


Thursday Night Football: Chiefs vs. Broncos – Time, Odds, Predictions, Keys, Live Stream

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Week 6 of the NFL season brings an enticing matchup as the reigning Super Bowl champions, the Kansas City Chiefs, square off against their long-time AFC West rivals, the Denver Broncos.

Patrick Mahomes and his squad are riding a four-game winning streak, following an initial setback against the Detroit Lions. Meanwhile, the Denver Broncos, led by Sean Payton, secured their sole victory in a thrilling comeback against the Bears but stumbled at home against Zach Wilson and the Jets last week. Travis Kelce, despite a recent ankle injury, is likely to play for the Chiefs, which is concerning news for a Broncos team struggling defensively throughout the season.

The pivotal question is whether Kansas City can extend their winning streak or if the Broncos can pull off an upset. We’re about to find out. Before diving into the matchup analysis, here’s how you can catch the game.

How to Watch

  • Date: Thursday, October 12
  • Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
  • Location: Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, MO)
  • Stream: Amazon Prime Video
  • Follow: CBS Sports App
  • Odds: Chiefs -10.5; Over/Under 47 (according to SportsLine consensus odds)

When the Broncos Have Possession

Assessing Russell Wilson’s performance this season depends on your perspective. On the surface, Wilson’s stats are impressive, aligning with his previous seasons in Seattle: 66.9% completion rate, 7.4 yards per attempt, 11 touchdowns, and only 2 interceptions. However, Wilson tends to play conservatively when games are close, stifling the Broncos’ offense. His conservative approach has hurt Denver’s performance in such scenarios. To compete with Kansas City, Wilson must be aggressive from the outset, but his offensive strategy seems focused on horizontal passing until it’s too late. Denver relies heavily on running backs in the passing game, with Samaje Perine and Javonte Williams shouldering a significant load. Nevertheless, both have struggled both as runners and pass-catchers. Against the Chiefs, this conservative approach may not be effective.

When the Chiefs Have Possession

For the first time in his career, Patrick Mahomes faces the NFL’s worst-ranked defense in opponent scoring. This matchup promises an offensive spectacle. The Denver defense has been porous, allowing 28 or more points in each of their last four games, including a staggering 70 points to the Miami Dolphins. They rank dead last in numerous defensive categories, including yards allowed, points allowed, and yards per play. Opposing quarterbacks have excelled against them, completing 77.3% of their passes for 9.1 yards per attempt and 13 touchdowns. Even their run defense is suspect, yielding 5.9 yards per carry and eight rushing touchdowns. Mahomes, despite a relatively slow start, remains a formidable force on third downs, making this a potential explosive game for him. The Chiefs’ wide receiver rotation may not even matter in this game, given the Broncos’ defensive vulnerabilities.

Prediction: Chiefs 31, Broncos 14

Denver’s only win came against the Bears, and the Chiefs are a different league altogether. While the Chiefs occasionally play down to their competition, the gap between them and the Broncos is substantial, making an upset highly unlikely, especially at Arrowhead Stadium.

While we anticipate a Chiefs victory, it’s advisable to check out Sportsline expert Matthew Severance, who boasts a 16-5 record in his last 21 picks involving the Broncos. He’s leaning towards the Over on the total and has a crucial X-factor that could impact the spread—don’t miss his insights before making your own picks.


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