Fees, trading and visas to dominate the negotiations

When Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi goes to Washington and meets President Donald Trump this weekend, there will be some loving warmths and shared smiles. But that won’t be everything.

Trump and Modi have created a strong personal relationships over the years, marked by high -level meetings and joint appearance.

Since the first meeting in Washington in 2017, their deed has been developed through other events, including collective appearance at massive rallies in Houston and Ahmedabad. Their chemical-shared world scenes and mutual strategic focus on the politics of politics and China have strengthened the US-India alliance.

No wonder Trump often criticized India, but he never criticized Modi.

So, during Modi’s AttendanceBoth leaders will spend time to map the next steps of the US-India strategic partner, which is already in a good place.

Modi is reportedly meeting many members of Trump’s Cabinet, US business leaders and members of the Indo-American community.

He may also meet SpaceX and Tesla President Elon Musk. Modi, who is interested in measuring India’s emerging electric vehicle, will be happy to open a Tesla factory in Mask in India.

However, the speech of Trump-Modi compliance and strategic partnership may cover a clever reality: during Modi’s arrival, the transaction of the relationship, especially Trump, is armed with a series of demands.

Delhi is well aware of Trump. Many of Modi’s current cabinet ministers worked in his previous term, which joined a part of the first Trump administration. The familiarity has been on display since Trump’s swearing -in last month: Delhi is public Sign Its desire to reduce fees, withdraw unpredicted Indian immigrants, and buy American oil.

It is already Lowered Some charges and 104 unpredictable Indians, withdrawn with the first flight Arrive In India last week. These premature measures are to prevent Trump from making India’s specific demands and reduce the chance of tensions with the new Trump administration.

However, Trump can ask Modi to make additional fare cuts, a US products and service trade deficit with the United States b 46 billion access (£ 37.10 billion) in recent years. But a barrier may become an opportunity: Modi can invite Trump to enter bilateral negotiations in the economic partnership agreement to reduce fees on both sides.

In recent years, Delhi has shown the growing option to continue Trade agreements. The Trump administration may be proven to be a more preferred speaker than the Biden administration, which imposed strict environmental and labor -related conditions for new trade agreements.

Trump can ask Modi to withdraw more of the unpredictable Indians. Some ratings put the number Are more than 700,000 – The third largest group in the United States – Delhi will be a difficult and subtle problem.

Last week, India’s Foreign Minister S Jaishankar Told parliament The government is working with the United States to ensure that Indian citizens are not misbehaving.

Trump can also invite Modi to buy American oil.

In 2021, India was The best goal The Russian invasion of US oil exports, but the Russian invasion of Ukraine brought major changes to the global oil markets and prompted Delhi to import cheap oil from Russia. The price point will determine how much oil India is ready to buy from the US.

Ask Modi to come with his own energy: Invest in Indian nuclear power. Delhi Revision A new nuclear work has been announced in an attempt to sharpen international interest in its nuclear responsibility law and fuel.

India aims to meet half of its energy requirements through renewable energy by 2030. Trump is asking Trump to invest in nuclear fuel, which is a happy medium: it is pure than fossil fuels, but is far from solar and wind power that does not attack Trump.

Technology will also be discussed.

It was a rapid growing place for bilateral relationships in the Bidan era, thanks to the enforcement of 2022 Initiative of critical and growing technologies (Iset), which considers both sides as a new source of strategic alliance. The ICET is to be overseen directly by two national security advisers – to avoid being trapped in the bureaucracy – that is, each of them must be invested personally.

Modi will seek warranty from Trump and his national security adviser Mike Waltz. Washington’s focus on facing China by making India a large part of technological global distribution chains, they probably do.

In the forefront of technical cooperation, Modi can make a pitch for Trump H -1B visa rule. These visas for most skilled foreign workers are heavily criticized by some Influential Trump supportersA large number of Indian technicians in the United States have been provided.

Other countries may also come during Modi’s conversations in Washington. Iran is particularly larger.

Delhi has joined Tehran to create a port in Sabahar, a part of a wide Indian strategy to strengthen connectivity with Central Asia via Iran and Afghanistan. But last week, the US administration released the president Metamorandum In Tehran, Tehran outlines Trump’s “maximum pressure” campaign, which refers to the elimination of economic sanctions for those who carry out business activities in Sabahar. Modi can clarify what this means for Delhi.

Trump can also measure Modi’s position on a major foreign policy priority: finishing wars in Ukraine and Gaza.

Delhi has a strong interest in twisting these wars. Modi’s position on war in Ukraine – Putin or Russia should end the conflict without criticizing – echoes Trump.

India’s special relations with Russia and close ties with Israel may inspire Trump to see if Modi wants to play the role of a third -party mediator. It is convenient to do so only if the parties accept the outer mediation.

But despite some gentle debates this week, both leaders would like to maintain a positive tone.

In that respect, the Indo-Pacific quad doctor ordered.

Trump strongly supports this group of the United States, India, Japan and Australia and focuses on opposing Beijing.

In his first post, Trump raised the annual meetings of Quad to the Foreign Minister level, and Bidan raised them to the position of leaders.

India is planning to hold a quad meeting this year, and Modi can invite Trump to Delhi to attend.

Trump is said to be Not a great fan He will be interested in doing international travel but India – he will be interested in doing – to deepen his personal relationship with Modi and to improve the multi -bilateral federation that will long expand beyond tomorrow’s transaction in Washington.

Michael Kugalman is the director of South Asia, Wilson Center in Washington

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